about: | This a common question on this board: What is reasoning? In computer science and AI when we say "reasoning" we mean that we have a
theory and we can derive the consequences of the theory by application of some
inference procedure. A theory is a set of facts and rules about some environment of interest: the
real world, mathematics, language, etc. Facts are things we know (or assume)
to be true: they can be direct observations, or implied, guesses. Rules are
conditionally true and so most easily understood as implications: if we know
some facts are true we can conclude that some other facts must also be true.
An inference procedure is some system of rules, separate from the theory, that
tells us how we can combine the rules and facts of the theory to squeeze out
new facts, or new rules. There are three types of reasoning, what we may call modes of inference:
deduction, induction and abduction. Informally, deduction means that we start
with a set of rules and derive new unobserved facts, implied by the rules;
induction means that we start with a set of rules and some observations and
derive new rules that imply the observations; and abduction means that we
start with some rules and some observations and derive new unobserved facts
that imply the observations. It's easier to understand all this with examples. One example of deductive reasoning is planning, or automated planning and
scheduling, a field of classical AI research. Planning is the "model-based
approach to autonomous behaviour", according to the textbook on planning by
Geffner and Bonnet. An autonomous agent starts with a "model" that describes
the environment in which the agent is to operate as a set of entities with
discrete states, and a set of actions that the agent can take to change those
states. The agent is given a goal, an instance of its model, and it must find
a sequence of actions, that we call a "plan", to take the entities in the
model from their current state to the state in the goal. This is usually
achieved by casting the planning problem as pathfinding over a graph with a
search algorithm like A*. Here, the agent's model is a theory, the search
algorithm is the inference procedure, and the plan is a consequence of the
theory. Deductive reasoning can be sound, as long as the facts and rules in
the theory are correct: from correct premises we can deduce correct
conclusions. We know of sound deductive inference rules, e.g. A*, and
Resolution, used in automated theorem proving and SAT-Solving, are sound. The classic example of inductive reasoning is inferring the colour of swans.
Most swans are white (apparently) so if we have only seen white swans we have
no reason to believe there are any other colours: we are forced to infer that
all swans are white. We may only be disabused of our fallacy if we happen to
observe a swan that is not white, e.g. a black swan. But who is to say when
such a magnificent creature will grace us with its presence, outside of
Tchaikovsky's ballets? Induction is thus revealed to be unsound: even given
true premises we can still arrive at the wrong conclusions. Another example is
the scientific method: imagine an idealised scientist, perfectly spherical, in
a frictionless vacuum. She starts with a scientific theory, then goes out into
the world and makes new observations about a phenomenon not described by her
theory. She constructs a hypothesis to extend her theory so as to explain the
new observations. The hypothesis is a set of rules, where the premises are the
consequences of the rules in her initial theory. Then, being an idealised
scientist, she goes looking for new observations to refute her hypothesis.
Science only gives us the tools to know when we're wrong. Abductive reasoning is the mode of inference exemplified by Sherlock Holmes.
We can imagine Sherlock and Watson standing outside a tavern in London,
watching as a gentleman of interest steps out of the tavern with egg on his
lapel. "Ah, my dear Watson, what can we conclude from this observation?". "Why
my dear Holmes, we can conclude that the man had eggs for breakfast". Holmes
and Watson can arrive at this conclusion, about a fact that they have not
directly observed, because they have a theory with a rule that says "if one
eats eggs, one may get some on one's lapels". Working backwards from this
rule, and their observation of egg on the man's lapels, they can guess that
he had eggs even if they didn't directly observe him doing so. Abduction is
also unsound: the man may have swapped coats with an accomplice, who was the
one who had eggs for breakfast instead. And now you know what "reasoning" means. So the next time someone asks: "what
is reasoning?", you can let them know and turn the discussion to more
interesting, more productive directions. |